Putting the results in context

RCP published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

The poll was in the field . The sample size was 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields figures of 44.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Results vs. other polls

If we look at an average of Pennsylvania polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 44.8%. Looking at an average of Pennsylvania polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 44.8%. The values are thus identical to the average results of other polls in Pennsylvania.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. This means that Polly's forecast is 9.8 points above polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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