RCP published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
RCP poll results
The poll was in the field . The sample size was 0 participants.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following comparison, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields figures of 44.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.
Results vs. other polls
If we look at an average of Pennsylvania polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 44.8%. Looking at an average of Pennsylvania polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 44.8%. The values are thus identical to the average results of other polls in Pennsylvania.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. This means that Polly's forecast is 9.8 points above polling numbers.