The Lockerbie model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 50.4% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 49.6%. In comparison, on August 26, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 49.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 49.2%. Relative to numbers in the Lockerbie model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.2 percentage points worse.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote. The results of the Lockerbie model for Clinton are thus 3.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.