Putting the results in context

Results of a new poll administered by RCP were spread. The poll asked respondents from Ohio for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

In Ohio, the election outcome is often close. Therefore, the state is commonly considered a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

The poll was in the field . The sample size was 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be regarded with caution, as they may include substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields values of 47.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Clinton currently achieves 47.2% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent polls in Ohio. An average of recent polls in Ohio has Clinton at 47.2% of the two-party vote. The values are thus identical to the average results of other polls in Ohio.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 47.9% of the two-party vote in Ohio. This means that the PollyVote is 0.7 points above polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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