Putting the results in context

Results of a new poll conducted by RCP were distributed. The poll asked interviewees from Pennsylvania for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out among 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The corresponding figures are 44.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of Pennsylvania polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 44.8%. An average of recent polls in Pennsylvania sees Clinton at 44.8% of the two-party vote. The values are thus identical to the average results of other polls in Pennsylvania.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 45.4% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. Hence, the PollyVote is 0.6 points above polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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