Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Jérôme & Jérôme model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton and Trump will each win 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, because they often include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 49.2% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. Clinton currently runs at 49.2% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 1 percentage point better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.7% and Trump 46.4% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 3.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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