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Issue-index model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Issue-index model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 56.2% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 43.8%.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models should be treated with caution, since they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other index models

An average of recent index models sees Clinton at 54.0% of the two-party vote. An average of recent index models sees Clinton at 54.0% of the two-party vote. In comparison to numbers in the Issue-index index model Clinton's index model average is 2.2 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issue-index model for Clinton are thus 2.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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