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Reuters poll: Clinton with 5 points lead

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Reuters released the results of a new national poll, in which respondents were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Reuters poll results
41

Clinton

36

Trump

The poll was carried out from August 13 to August 17 among 1049 participants. If one takes into account the poll's margin of error of +/-3.5 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

Single polls may include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 53.3% for Clinton and 46.8% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Clinton currently achieves 53.1% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls. In comparison to numbers in the Reuters poll Clinton's poll average is 0.3 percentage points worse. This deviation is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. This means that Polly's forecast is 0.2 points above polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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