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New Bloomberg poll: Trump trails by a slight margin

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Bloomberg published the results of a new national poll. In this poll, participants were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Bloomberg poll results
50

Clinton

44

Trump

The poll was carried out from August 5 to August 8 with 749 participants. There is a sampling error of +/-3.6 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls may include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in figures of 53.2% for Clinton and 46.8% for Trump.

Results compared to other polls

Looking at an average of polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 53.1%. In comparison to numbers in the Bloomberg poll Clinton's poll average is 0.1 percentage points worse. This deviation is within the poll's margin of error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. Hence, Polly's forecast is 0.3 points above polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error shows that this deviation is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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