What course would the US presidential election probably take at the national level? This question was presented to political scientists by the PollyVote team.
The expert survey was conducted from July 29 to July 31. A total of 12 scientists from several colleges and universities responded. According to experts' average forecast, Clinton will obtain 52.7% of the major-party vote.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. The expert survey result for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.