Clinton and Trump virtually tied in latest Vox.Com model
The Vox.Com model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 49.1% for Clinton, and 50.9% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Trump can currently count on 50.9% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to numbers in the Vox.Com model Trump's econometric model average is 0.1 percentage points lower.
The Vox.Com model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 46.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Vox.Com model.