Putting the results in context

RCP published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

The poll was carried out among 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be overly confident the results of a single poll. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 44.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

Clinton currently runs at 44.8% of the two-party vote in an average of recent polls in Pennsylvania. The values are thus identical to the average results of other polls in Pennsylvania.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 45.4% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 0.6 points above polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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