Results of a new poll administered by RCP were spread. The poll asked interviewees from Ohio for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
In Ohio, the popular vote is often close. Therefore, the state is commonly considered a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
RCP poll results
The poll was conducted . A total of 0 participants responded.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they may incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single polls, we recommend to use combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
For the following comparison, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in values of 48.3% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. For comparison: 48.5% was obtained by Clinton in the RCP poll on August 21, for Trump this number was 0.0%.
Results in comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in Ohio has Clinton at 47.1% of the two-party vote. Relative to numbers in the RCP poll Clinton's poll average is 1.2 percentage points lower.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 47.9% of the two-party vote in Ohio. That is, the PollyVote is 0.4 points below polling numbers.