Leading indicators model shows Clinton in the lead

The Leading indicators model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.0% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 48.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 49.2% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to numbers in the Leading indicators model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.9 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Leading indicators model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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