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Latest Vox.Com model: Clinton and Trump in a dead heat

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The Vox.Com model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 49.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 50.9%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

Looking at an average of econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 50.9%. In comparison to numbers in the Vox.Com model Trump's econometric model average is 0.1 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 46.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Vox.Com model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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