Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Jérôme & Jérôme model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton is currently at 49.2% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. When compared to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 1 percentage point better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.5% and Trump 46.5% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 3.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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