Bio-index model: Clinton with clear lead

The Bio-index model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 58.8% for Clinton, and 41.2% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, index models are subject to bias. In general, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single index model. At the very least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other index models

Clinton can currently count on 53.9% of the two-party vote in an average of recent index models. Compared to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 4.9 percentage points lower.

The Bio-index model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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