Results of a new poll carried out by RCP were released. The poll asked respondents from Ohio for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
In Ohio, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. Therefore, the state is commonly regarded as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
RCP poll results
The poll was carried out . The sample size was 0 participants.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be treated with caution, since they often contain substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 48.5% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.