What course would the US presidential election probably take at the national level? This question was presented to political scientists by the PollyVote team.
The expert survey was conducted between July 29 and July 31. The sample size was 12 scientists from a variety of colleges and universities. The experts’ mean prediction is that Clinton will gain 52.7% of the national major-party vote.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the expert survey result.