The Lockerbie model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 50.4% for Clinton, and 49.6% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 49.1%. This value is 1.3 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Lockerbie model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Lockerbie model for Clinton are thus 3.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.