The Bio-index model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 58.8% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 41.2%.
Putting the results in context
Single index models may contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single index models, the recommended strategy consult combined index models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to other index models
Clinton currently runs at 53.7% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent index models. Compared to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 5.1 percentage points worse.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.