The Lewis-Beck & Tien model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 51.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 48.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 49.2% of the two-party vote. This value is 2 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Lewis-Beck & Tien model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Lewis-Beck & Tien model.