What course would the US presidential election probably take at the national level? This question was presented to political scientists by the PollyVote team.
The expert survey was carried out from July 29 to July 31 with 12 scientists from several colleges and universities. The experts’ average forecast is that Clinton will obtain 52.7% of the national major-party vote.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. The expert survey result for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.