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New Vox.Com model: Trump and Clinton in a tossup

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The Vox.Com model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 49.1% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 50.9%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models sees Trump at 50.9% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.1 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Vox.Com model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 46.6% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Vox.Com model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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