The Vox.Com model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 49.1% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 50.9%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models sees Trump at 50.9% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.1 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Vox.Com model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 46.6% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Vox.Com model.