Leading indicators model shows Clinton in the lead
The Leading indicators model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.0% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 48.0%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 49.2% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.9 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Leading indicators model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Leading indicators model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.