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Leading indicators model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Leading indicators model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.0% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 48.0%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 49.2% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.9 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Leading indicators model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Leading indicators model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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