Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Jérôme & Jérôme model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump receiving 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models has Clinton at 49.2% of the two-party vote. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 1 percentage point better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

The Jérôme & Jérôme model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.5% and Trump 46.5% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 3.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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