The Jérôme & Jérôme model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to this model, Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
Clinton is currently at 49.2% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 1 percentage point better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.4% and Trump 46.6% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 3.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.