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Issue-index model: Clinton with comfortable lead


The Issue-index model is included in the index models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 55.1% for Clinton, and 44.9% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models should be interpreted with caution, since they may include large errors. At least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other index models

An average of recent index models has Clinton at 53.8% of the two-party vote. This value is 1.4 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Issue-index index model.

The Issue-index model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Issue-index model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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