Fiscal model model shows Trump in the lead

The Fiscal model model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 48.2% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 51.8%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, as they can incorporate substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models has Trump at 50.9% of the two-party vote. This value is 1 percentage point lower than corresponding numbers in the Fiscal model model.

The Fiscal model model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 46.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Fiscal model model for Trump are thus 5.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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