The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 48.1% for Clinton, and 51.9% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, as they often incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 50.9%. This value is 1 percentage point lower than respective numbers in the DeSart model.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 46.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.