Dead heat between Clinton and Trump in new Keys to the White House index model

The Keys to the White House model is part of the index models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.5% for Clinton, and 48.5% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, index models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not put too much trust in the results of a single index model. At least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other index models

An average of recent index models has Clinton at 53.7% of the two-party vote. Compared to numbers in the Keys to the White House index model Clinton's index model average is 2.2 percentage points higher.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Keys to the White House model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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