The Lewis-Beck & Tien model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 51.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 48.9%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton is currently at 49.2% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to numbers in the Lewis-Beck & Tien model Clinton's econometric model average is 2 percentage points lower.
The Lewis-Beck & Tien model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Lewis-Beck & Tien model.