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Bio-index model shows Clinton in the lead


The Bio-index model is captured in the index models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.8% for Clinton, and 41.2% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, index models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not put too much trust in the results of an individual index model. At the very least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other index models

Clinton is currently at 53.7% of the two-party vote in an average of recent index models. Compared to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 5.1 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Bio-index model for Clinton are thus 5.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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