Bio-index model: Clinton with clear lead

The Bio-index model is part of the index models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 58.8% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 41.2%.

Putting the results in context

Single index models can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other index models

Clinton currently runs at 53.7% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent index models. This value is 5.1 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Bio-index index model.

The Bio-index model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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