The Bio-index model is part of the index models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 58.8% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 41.2%.
Putting the results in context
Single index models can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
Clinton currently runs at 53.7% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent index models. This value is 5.1 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Bio-index index model.
The Bio-index model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.