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Bio-index model: Clinton with clear lead


The Bio-index model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 58.8% for Clinton, and 41.2% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other index models

An average of recent index models sees Clinton at 53.7% of the two-party vote. In comparison to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 5.1 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Bio-index model for Clinton are thus 5.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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