The Lockerbie model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 50.4% for Clinton, and 49.6% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 49.2%. This value is 1.3 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Lockerbie model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Lockerbie model.