The Bio-index model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.8% for Clinton, and 41.2% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models should be interpreted with caution, because they often contain substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
Clinton currently runs at 53.7% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent index models. Compared to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 5.1 percentage points lower.
The Bio-index model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Bio-index model for Clinton are thus 5.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.