Bio-index model shows Clinton in the lead

The Bio-index model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.8% for Clinton, and 41.2% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models should be interpreted with caution, because they often contain substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other index models

Clinton currently runs at 53.7% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent index models. Compared to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 5.1 percentage points lower.

The Bio-index model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Bio-index model for Clinton are thus 5.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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