The Issues and Leaders model enters the index models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 47.9%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single index models, since they often contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
Clinton currently runs at 53.7% of the two-party vote in an average of recent index models. This value is 1.6 percentage points higher than corresponding numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issues and Leaders model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.