Clinton and Trump virtually tied in new Vox.Com model
The Vox.Com model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 49.1% for Clinton, and 50.9% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Trump can currently count on 50.8% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. This value is 0.1 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Vox.Com model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 46.6% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Vox.Com model.