Trump and Clinton virtually tied in latest Vox.Com model
The Vox.Com model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 49.1% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 50.9%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.1 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.1 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 4.3 percentage points less and Trump has 4.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.