Putting the results in context

PPP (D) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Ohio were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

In Ohio, the popular vote is usually close. This is why the state is commonly regarded as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

The poll was conducted between July 22 and July 24. The sample size was 1334 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-2.7 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they may contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The resulting figures are 50.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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