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Ohio: Clinton tied with Trump in latest Suffolk University poll

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Suffolk University released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Ohio were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

Historically, Ohio has been a battleground state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. This is why predictions here are of particular importance.

Suffolk University poll results
44

Clinton

44

Trump

The results show that former First Lady Hillary Clinton and billionaire Donald Trump can draw on the exact same level of support, each with 44.0% of the vote.

The poll was in the field between July 18 and July 20. The sample size was 500 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.4 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls may contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. The results of the actual poll mean 50.0 % for Clinton and 50.0 % for Trump in the two-party vote share.

Results in comparison to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 1.5 percentage points, while Trump did better with 1.5 percentage points. This deviation is outside the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 51.0% and Trump 49.0% of the two-party vote in Ohio. Clinton has 1.0 percentage points less and Trump has 1.0 percentage points more when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Ohio. Again, a look at the poll's error margin indicates that this deviation is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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