The Fair model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 44.0% for Clinton and 56.0% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they may incorporate large biases. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 5.2 percentage points, while Trump did better with 5.2 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 9.4 percentage points less and Trump has 9.4 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.