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Fair model: Clinton trails by a clear margin


The Fair model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 44.0% for Clinton and 56.0% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they may incorporate large biases. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 5.2 percentage points, while Trump did better with 5.2 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 9.4 percentage points less and Trump has 9.4 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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