The Bio-index model is included in the index models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, index models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not be overly confident the results of a single index model. Rather than relying on results from single index models, we recommend to rely on combined index models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results compared to other index models
When compared to the average results of other index models Clinton performed better with 5.1 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 5.1 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 5.4 percentage points more and Trump has 5.4 percentage points less when the results of the index model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.