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Bio-index model: Clinton with clear lead


The Bio-index model is included in the index models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, index models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not be overly confident the results of a single index model. Rather than relying on results from single index models, we recommend to rely on combined index models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to other index models

When compared to the average results of other index models Clinton performed better with 5.1 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 5.1 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 5.4 percentage points more and Trump has 5.4 percentage points less when the results of the index model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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