The 538 (polls-plus) model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will collect 52.4% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 47.6%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they may contain substantial biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 3.2 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 3.2 percentage points.
The 538 (polls-plus) model compared with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 1.0 percentage points less and Trump has 1.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.