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Putting the results in context

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NYT Upshot published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Ohio were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

In Ohio, the popular vote is usually close. This is why the state is commonly regarded as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

NYT Upshot poll results
0

Clinton

0

Trump

The poll was in the field . The sample size was 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not be overly confident the results of a single poll. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in values of 31.9% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. For comparison: Only 31.1% was obtained by Clinton in the NYT Upshot poll on August 16, for Trump this number was 0.0%.

Comparison to other polls

In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 51.0% and Trump 49.0% of the two-party vote in Ohio. Clinton has 19.1 percentage points less and Trump has 19.1 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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