Putting the results in context

Votamatic published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Ohio were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Historically, Ohio has been a purple state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. Hence, predictions here are of particular interest.

This poll was conducted , among a random sample of 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

Single polls can contain substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 47.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. For comparison: Only 47.4% was gained by Clinton in the Votamatic poll on August 16, for Trump this number was 0.0%.

Comparison to other polls

In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 51.0% and Trump 49.0% of the two-party vote in Ohio. Clinton has 3.4 percentage points less and Trump has 3.4 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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