Putting the results in context

NYT Upshot released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

This poll was conducted , among a random sample of 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, don't be overly confident the results of a single poll. Rather than relying on results from single polls, one should rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

For the following analysis, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 10.3% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. On August 16 Clinton obtained only 10.2% in the NYT Upshot poll and Trump obtained 0.0%.

Results compared to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.4% and Trump 46.7% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. Clinton has 43.1 percentage points less and Trump has 43.1 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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