Putting the results in context

Results of a new poll conducted by RCP were circulated. The poll asked respondents from Pennsylvania for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.

The poll was carried out among 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they sometimes contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single polls, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 44.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.4% and Trump 46.7% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. Clinton has 8.5 percentage points less and Trump has 8.5 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.