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Putting the results in context

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PEC released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Texas were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

PEC poll results
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Clinton

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Trump

The poll was conducted with 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not focus too much on the results of a single poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the recommended strategy look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 85.9% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. In the most recent PEC poll on August 16 Clinton received only 82.1%, while Trump received 0.0%.

Comparison to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 44.0% and Trump 56.0% of the two-party vote in Texas. Clinton has 41.9 percentage points more and Trump has 41.9 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Putting the results in context

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Results of a new poll conducted by RCP were released. The poll asked participants from Texas for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

RCP poll results
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Clinton

0

Trump

The poll was conducted with 0 respondents.

Putting the results in context

Single polls can incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

For the following comparison, we translate the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The corresponding figures are 55.1% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. In the latest RCP poll on August 16 Clinton received 56.1%, while Trump received 0.0%.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 44.0% and Trump 56.0% of the two-party vote in Texas. Clinton has 11.1 percentage points more and Trump has 11.1 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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