Putting the results in context

Votamatic published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

The poll was carried out among 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not be overly confident the results of a single poll. Instead of relying on results from single polls, the best practice is to look at combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

For the following comparison, we convert Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 45.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. To compare: 45.1% was obtained by Clinton in the Votamatic poll on August 16, for Trump this number was 0.0%.

Comparison to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.4% and Trump 46.7% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. Clinton has 8.4 percentage points less and Trump has 8.4 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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